Number of Passenger Cars to Double by 203

The latest World Energy Outlook published by the International Energy Agency certainly makes for interesting and often disturbing reading. It looks at the global energy situation between now and 2035.


One of its findings is that global oil demand will increase from its current 87 million barrels per day to 99 million in 2035. The number of passenger cars on our roads will double to an estimated 1.7 billion in the same period.


Vehicles using alternative energy sources will expand, but market penetration will take longer than initially expected.


The IEA says unless there is a bold change of policy direction, the world might end up being locked into an inefficient and insecure high carbon energy system.


The IEA used three global scenarios in its analysis: a scenario assuming that no new policies will be implemented other than those in place by mid-2011, one that assumes that governments will implement new policies in a cautious manner, and the third one, called the 450 scenario, which assumes that the world will try to achieve a previously agreed 2 degree Celsius reduction in global mean temperature by 2035.


Using the 'cautious new policies' scenario, the IEA found that primary energy demand would grow by at least 33% between 2010 and 2035. 90% of that growth will come from developing countries.


China will cement its position as the biggest user of energy in the world, consuming 70% more than the United States 25 years from now.


Author - Louise Hutchinson

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